Scales for pre-operative risk assessment
Types of open-heart surgery:
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Objectives
The Ontario scoring system
(source: http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/91/3/677.long)
- For predicting risk of mortality, ICU length of stay, and overall PostOp length of stay following cardiac surgery
The Parsonnet score
- For predicting risk of mortality following cardiac surgery
euroSCORE II
- For predicting risk of mortality following cardiac surgery
Cleveland Clinic score
- For predicting risk of morbidity and mortality following cardiac surgery
(original publication: Higgins TL, Estafanous FG, Loop FD, Beck GJ, Blum JM, Paranandi L. Stratification of morbidity and mortality outcome by preoperative risk factors in coronary artery bypass patients. J Am Med Assoc 1992;267:2344±2348.)
French score
- For predicting risk of morbidity and mortality following cardiac surgery
(original publication: Roques F, Gabrielle F, Michel P, De Vincentiis C, David M, Baudet E.
Quality of care in adult heart surgery: proposal for a self-assessment approach based on a French multicenter study. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 1995;9:433-439; discussion 439-440.)
Quality Measurement and Management Initiative (QMMI)
- For predicting risk of morbidity and mortality following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery
Variables
The Ontario scoring system
- Gender
- Age
- <65
- 65 to 74
- >74
- Urgency of surgery
- Elective
- Urgent
- Emergency
- Type of surgery
- CABG only
- Single valve
- Complex
- Ejection fraction (EF)
- EF > 50%
- 35 to 50%
- 20 to 34%
- EF < 20%
- Repeat operation
- No
- Yes
The Parsonnet score
Patient related factors
- Gender
- Age
- < 70
- 70 to 74
- 75 – 79
- ¿ 80
- Morbid obesity
- Yes (¿ 1.5 x ideal weight)
- No
- Diabetes
- Yes (unspecific type)
- No
- Ejection fraction (EF)
- ¿ 50%
- 30 – 49%
- <30 %
- Hypertension
- Yes (BP > 140/90 mmHg) or on antihypertensive medications
- No
- Reoperation
- None
- First
- Second
- Preoperative Intra-aortic balloon pump
- Yes
- No
- Left ventricular aneurysm
- Yes
- No
- Emergency surgery
- Yes (following PTCA or catheterisation complications)
- No
- Dialysis
- Yes
- No
- Severity of catastrophic states (e.g. acute structural defect, cardiogenic shock, acute renal failure or others)
- One
- Two
- Three
- Four
- Five
- Severity of other rare circumstances (e.g. paraplegia, pacemaker dependency, congenital health disease, severe asthma, others)
- One
- Two
- Three
- Four
- Five
Surgery related factors
- Aortic valve surgery
- Yes (with AV pressure gradient ¿ 120 mmHg)
- Yes (with AV pressure gradient > 120 mmHg)
- No
- Mitral valve surgery
- Yes (with systolic PAP < 60 mmHg)
- Yes (with systolic PAP ¿ 60 mmHg)
- No
- CABG at time of valve surgery
- Yes
- No
euroSCORE II
Patient related factors
- Gender
- Age
- Renal impairment (creatinine clearance)
- Normal (CC > 85 ml/min)
- Moderate (CC > 50 & < 85 ml/min)
- Severe (CC < 50 ml/min)
- Dialysis
- Extracardiac arteriopathy
- Claudication
- Carotid occlusion or >50% stenosis
- Amputation for arterial disease
- Previous or planned intervention on the abdominal aorta, limb arteries or carotids
- Poor mobility
- Yes
- No
- Previous cardiac surgery
- Yes
- No
- Chronic lung disease
- Yes
- No
- Active endocarditis
- Yes
- No
- Critical preoperative state
- Yes
- No
- Diabetes on insulin
- Yes
- No
Cardiac related factors
- NYHA (New York Heart Association Functional Classification)
- I: no symptoms and no limitation in ordinary physical activity
- II: mild symptoms and slight limitation during ordinary activity
- III: Marked limitation in activity due to symptoms, even during less than ordinary activity
- IV: Severe limitation, experience symptoms even while at rest.
- CCS class 4 angina (angina at rest)
- Yes
- No
- Left Ventricular (LV) Function (EF: ejaculation fraction)
- LVEF: > 50% (good)
- LVEF: 31 – 50% (moderate)
- LVEF: 21 – 30% (poor)
- LVEF: 20% or less (very poor)
- Recent MI
- Yes
- No
- Pulmonary hypertension
- No
- Moderate (Pulmonary Artery systolic: 31-50 mmHg)
- Severe (Pulmonary Artery systolic: >50 mmHg)
Operation related factors
- Urgency
- Elective
- Urgent
- Emergency
- Salvage
- Weight for the intervention
- Isolated CABG
- Single non CABG
- Two procedures
- Three procedures
- Surgery on thoracic aorta
- Yes
- No
Cleveland Clinic score
- Emergency case – 6
- Serum creatinine
- ¿ 141 and ¿ 167 ¿mol/L – 1
- ¿ 168 ¿mol/L – 4
- Severe left ventricular dysfunction – 3
- Reoperation – 3
- Operative mitral valve insufficiency – 3
- Age ¿ 65 and ¿ 74y – 1
- Age ¿ 75 – 2
- Prior vascular surgery
- Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
- Anaemia (haematocrit ¿ 0.34) – 2
- Operative aortic valve stenosis – 1
- Weight ¿ 65 kg – 1
- Diabetes, on oral or insulin therapy – 1
- Cerebrovascular disease – 1
French score
Quality Measurement and Management Initiative (QMMI)
- Age
- < 60
- 60 – 69
- 70 – 79
- ¿ 80
- Emergency
- Elective
- Urgent
- Emergent
- Female gender
- Yes
- No
- Prior CABG
- Yes
- No
- Cardiogenic shock
- Yes
- No
- Ejection fraction
- ¿ 50%
- 30 – 49%
- <30%
- Pre-CABG creatinine
- < 132 ¿mol/L
- 132 – 265 ¿mol/L
- > 265 ¿mol/L
- Liver disease (history)
- Yes
- No
- Stroke or TIA (history)
- Yes
- No
- C.O.P.D
- Yes
- No
- Hypertension
- Yes
- No
Stratification & other info
The Ontario scoring system

(Adapted from: http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/91/3/677.long)
- Data collected from 13 098 patients at all nine adult cardiac surgery institutions in Ontario, Canada.
The Parsonnet score
euroSCORE II
- Predicted mortality = e (¿o + åbi Xi) / 1+ e (¿o + åbi Xi)
- Data collected from 22,381 consecutive patients undergoing major cardiac surgery in 154 hospitals in 43 countries over a 12-week period (May-July 2010)
Cleveland Clinic score

(Adapted from: Higgins TL, Estafanous FG, Loop FD, Beck GJ, Blum JM, Paranandi L. Stratification of morbidity and mortality outcome by preoperative risk factors in coronary artery bypass patients. J Am Med Assoc 1992;267:2344-2348)
- Data collected from a retrospective analysis of 5051 patients in Cleveland Clinic Foundation, U.S.
French score
Quality Measurement and Management Initiative (QMMI)
- Data collected from 9,498 patients who underwent CABG and no other concomitant surgery at 12 academic medical centers from August 1993 to October 1995 in the U.S.